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Working PaperWP-2026-01

Where Does Discretion Go When Transfers Go Digital?

Examines what automation does to administrative discretion through Punjab's teacher e-transfer system, and finds that curtailment, relocation and reconstitution each hold in a different part of the system.

Abstract

Scholarship on digital discretion offers three rival accounts of what automation does to administrative judgment: it curtails discretion, relocates it, or reconstitutes it in new forms. The evidence behind all three comes overwhelmingly from Northern welfare bureaucracies, where discretion means professional judgment over clients. This article examines a different class of case, which it terms politically saturated allocation: mass allocation systems whose outcomes were historically governed by patronage. Punjab's teacher e-transfer system, introduced in 2019 to remove political and clerical influence from the posting of the province's public school teachers, is treated as a crucial case for the curtailment thesis. Drawing on a four-month research internship with the Punjab Information Technology Board, interviews with system architects and teachers, and analysis of policy instruments, the article uses congruence analysis to adjudicate among the three expectations. It finds a configuration rather than a winner. Curtailment holds, but only in the routine allocation core. Relocation dominates: discretion migrates to the three functions no rule engine can perform for itself, namely specifying the rules, establishing the facts, and granting exceptions. Reconstitution appears where digitization removed the friction that once disciplined applicants. The department's 2024 return of hardship cases to manual adjudication, against the implementer's advice, reveals a further dynamic, discretion reclamation, in which principals deliberately de-automate. The article contributes a scope condition, a mechanism-based account of where relocated discretion settles, and four propositions for comparative testing.

Keywords: digital discretion; street-level bureaucracy; e-government; patronage; teacher transfers; automation; Pakistan.

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About the author

Mamoona Muqadas is an Independent Researcher and Analyst. Her research interests span social and behavioural sciences, public policy, digital sociology, and AI Regulation. She is particularly interested in how emerging technologies are reshaping social behaviour, institutions, political processes, and public policy. Her broader interests include geopolitics, political economy, and the economic and social development of Pakistan. She holds a bachelor's degree in Political Science and is completing a master's degree in Public Policy and Society at Information Technology University, Lahore. She currently serves as Research and Strategy Lead at PIVRA.